Brownsox over on DKos is doing a pretty good job of tracking races that havn’t yet been called… we watch with bated breath.
In the Senate, the tally is 55-40-2, with 3 seats undecided:
Alaska:
FiveThirtyEight has a simulation that suggests that there is still a decent chance of Mark Begich defeating convicted felon & Republican senator Ted Stevens, thereby preventing Sarah Palin from appointing herself temporary Senator (and then winning the special election) and making us listen to her verbal gymnastics for another six years. If she wants to run for President this would be an ideal place to improve her image… but since the Senate has to actually vote on the record, strategically and tactically on many different issues, it’s traditionally been a very difficult place to springboard to the Presidency from. Whether Sarah Palin’s appeal to her base is subject to tedious things like how she voted is up for discussion. More on her (and the future of the Republican Party) in a later post.
Georgia:
While a few more votes have to be counted, Georgia’s Republican senator Saxby Chambliss is at 49.8% to Democratic challenger Jim Martin’s 46.8%. Under Georgia law, the winner coming in under 50% triggers a runoff that it would be entirely possible for Jim Martin, campaigning with President-elect Obama and enjoying much of the Democratic Party’s attention, could win. 3 points is considerable as a handicap, but I think this is entirely about how the economy does and how much effort the Democrats put into this race.
Minnesota:
Odds are close to even on who a month-long recount (to start in a week or two) will favor. Coleman has around 200 votes over Frankin, and lawsuits over things as small as a 32 ballot absentee batch that was slow in the coming in have been filed.
Update:
It looks like that lawsuit (which has been thrown out) may have attempted in the small print to stop the counting of most of the uncounted ballots:
Connecticut:
Lieberman was not up for reelection this year, but he may be impacted. Over the course of the last 8 years, he has gone:
- from the Vice-Presidential Nominee who torpedoed recount efforts & his chances of winning by being too conciliatory
- to an influential part of the DLC who “Votes with us on everything but the war”
- to an independant pro-war candidate who couldn’t muster enough Democratic votes to win a primary but could win an election by splitting both Republican and Democratic votes
- to a full-on neoconservative shill who campaigned with McCain and said he doesn’t know whether America would survive a government with the Democratic Party at its reins
Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid is pretty adamant that his committee chairmanship (Homeland Security & Governmental Affairs) be yanked, but even offered him a trade: a chair somewhere else where his pro-war positions won’t damage Democratic ability to govern effectively. Joe’s spokesman said simply that losing his chair was “unacceptable,” as Democrats stood in awe of his audacity and the blogosphere called for him to be thrown out of the caucus entirely. The sole position I’ve been warning about since the issue came up in 2006 where this could matter after 2008, the 60th censure vote that Democrats need to stop Republican obstructionism in the Senate, would be at stake if the above three races are decided in favor of Democrats. The question for the Senate might end up being – Is suffering Joe Lieberman as deciding vote worth having the deciding vote?